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Moon

· 16h

#Robinhood 首席执行官弗拉德·特内夫表示，预测市场不仅仅是交易场所。

“它们正被用作‘真相机器’。”

“传统新闻媒体的替代品。”

“越来越多的美国人开始转向预测市场，以厘清真相或判断未来可能发生的事情。”

“它们正遍地开花。”

@vladtenev

https://x.com/Bankless/status/2033574297864937856?s=20

中文 English

0:00 我们一直看好预测市场，但即便如此，过去几年的增长还是让我们非常

0:04 惊讶。

0:05 增长速度超出预期。

0:07 现在，支持者，比如我们银行名单上的人，会说这些是信息

0:12 市场，

0:13 它们对社会有益，是新闻和事件等的真相机器，

0:17 基于权益的投票。

0:18 但也有一批人反对预测市场，发出一些

0:19 抗议声。

0:24 有人说这只是另一种赌博，

0:24 对社会未必有益，

0:29 会产生上瘾，

0:30 可能导致内幕交易，所以预测市场也有一些

0:36 批评。

0:37 你怎么看？

0:39 在最高层面上，

0:40 预测市场对社会是好是坏？

0:44 它们是好事还是坏事？

0:46 我认为它们对社会有益，很多人没意识到的是，

0:53 关于

0:53 预测市场，虽然它们上的交易量确实存在，

0:59 交易量

1:00 远小于股票市场或期权市场，

1:05 但它们还有更广泛的用途，作为真相机器，

1:08 是传统新闻媒体的替代品。

1:13 越来越多的美国人开始依赖预测市场

1:15 来判断什么是真实的、什么可能发生。

1:19 过去人们通过新闻媒体获取这些信息，但随着新闻业务

1:24 模式的变化，

1:26 新闻媒体越来越远离尽快告诉你真相和信息，

1:28 而是更倾向于拖延信息传递，让你只是被娱乐，观看更多广告。

1:33 这就留下了一个空缺，

1:34 即：如果我想知道某件事并得到真实信息，该用什么机制？

1:38 我认为预测市场很好地填补了这个空白，

1:40 你会看到它们会越来越普及。

1:44 现代媒体一团糟。

1:45 每个平台都有偏见，但并非每个新闻消费者都意识到他们消费的平台有偏见。

1:51 这就是为什么当我想了解真相时，我会去Polymarket，世界上最无偏见的

1:56 新闻平台。

1:58 从Polymarket.com获取你的信息。

0:00 We've been longtime bullish prediction markets, but even we have been very

0:04 surprised at the

0:05 growth of the last couple of years.

0:07 Now, proponents, like probably us on bank lists, say that these are information

0:12 markets, that

0:13 these are good for society, that there are truth machines for things like news

0:17 and events,

0:18 stake-weighted voting around this.

0:19 But there's a crowd that's kind of anti-prediction markets and some clamoring

0:24 about this.

0:24 Some people say it's just another form of gambling, it's not necessarily good

0:29 for society,

0:30 it creates addictions, it incense maybe insider trading, so there's some

0:36 criticism of prediction

0:37 markets as well.

0:39 What's your take?

0:40 At the highest level on prediction markets, are these things good for society?

0:44 Are they bad for society?

0:46 I think they're good for society and I think what a lot of people don't realize

0:53 about

0:53 prediction markets is, sure, they're trading and volume that's happening on

0:59 them.

1:00 The trading volume is much smaller than it is in equities markets or options

1:05 markets,

1:08 but there's also a much broader use case of these being used as truth machines,

1:13 as being

1:15 alternatives to traditional news media.

1:19 More and more Americans are increasingly turning to prediction markets to have

1:24 clarity on what's

1:26 true or what's likely to happen.

1:28 It used to be that they would go to news media for this, but as the business

1:33 model of news

1:34 media has gone further and further away from giving you the truth and giving

1:38 you the information

1:40 or what's likely to happen as quickly as possible and more toward how can we

1:44 delay you getting

1:45 the information so that you're just entertained and can watch more ads.

1:51 That's opened up a hole for the original purpose, which is let's say I want to

1:56 know something

1:58 and get the actual information.

2:01 What's the mechanism for that?

2:02 I think prediction markets have filled in that gap quite well and you'll see

2:10 over time

2:10 that they just proliferate everywhere.

2:14 Modern media is a mess.

2:15 Every platform has a bias, but not every news consumer is aware of the platform

2:18 's bias

2:19 that they're consuming.

2:20 That's why when I want to learn the truth, I go to Polymarket, the world's most

2:23 unbiased

2:24 news platform.

2:25 Get your signal from Polymarket.com.

Moon

· 2w

Robinhood Chain 测试网的交易量刚刚突破 1000 万笔。
开发者今天即可连接、访问文档并开始构建。我们还支持 @arbitrum 开放日黑客马拉松系列活动，奖金高达 100 万美元，旨在支持在 #Robinhood Chain 测试网上进行开发的团队。 #eth

https://x.com/JohannKerbrat/status/2027416253686808949

Builder

· 1M

Robinhood ：金融的下一个阶段是“重新打包（Rebundling）”

过去十年，金融科技走的是拆分路线：交易一个 App、储蓄一个 App、加密一个 App、支付一个 App。结果是资金被结算周期、账户边界和产品割裂严重束缚，流动性效率极低。 Robinhood 要做的，是把钱重新集中在一个系统里，并最大化“钱的流速”。

加密年度报告

Moon

· 1M

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2026年加密货币基础设施展望

Moon

· 1M

未来的链上证券交易所（几乎）已经到来

纽约证券交易所的重要公告为股权代币化平台勾勒出全面愿景。这意义重大。

Moon

· 1M

Fomo 代表着链上交易现代化的又一次尝试，但它更侧重于提供媲美 Robinhood 的移动体验，而非依赖加密原生的工作流程。fomo 几乎消除了所有阻碍链上交易真正实现优势的传统摩擦。

如果该团队成功，FOMO 可以像 #Robinhood 将新一代人引入股票市场一样，将更广泛的零售受众引入链上投机，从而显著扩大市场蛋糕。 #fomo https://fomo.family/

Moon

· 2M

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r4fxsT7oTIE